Wednesday, May 8, 2013

DTN Midday Commetns on Grains

Grain Trade Mixed at Midday


Mixed action is seen at midday with corn lower and beans higher. The trade is mentioning position squaring ahead of Friday.


By David Fiala DTN Contributing Analyst

General Comments
The U.S. stock markets are mostly flat to higher The interest rate products are flat to lower. The dollar index is slightly lower. Energies are mixed with crude down 105. Livestock trade is mixed. Precious metals are mixed with gold, up $15.
CORN
Corn trade is 8 to 12 lower at midday with renewed selling pressure building. Rain moving through the Corn Belt looks to idle a lot of planters in the near term, but the extended forecast remains more open. On the July chart we have support around our Monday close at the $6.37 20-day moving average and resistance at the $6.62 50-day, and trade has fallen through resistance at midday. The new crop carryover estimate for Friday is 2.06 billion bushels with a range of 1.832-2.19 billion. The world new crop corn carryover estimate is 150.9 million tons. These are well above the old-crop estimates of 762 million domestically, and 125.9 million tons on the world balance sheet. Ethanol production slipped slightly on the week, which was a little bit of a surprise. Inventories shrunk again, which should continue to support margins coming forward.

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